Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or late roster changes
AI updated 6/30/2026, 7:01:05 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 46% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,834,580
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
14h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for June 30 at 7:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Bobby Witt Jr. records more than 0.5 home runs during the game. This market will resolve to "Under" if Bobby Witt Jr. records less than 0.5 home runs during the game. The entire game including all extra innings will be considered. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the field at any point, the market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Bobby Witt Jr.'s home runs in the upcoming Rays vs. Royals game is evenly split, with a 50% probability for both Over and Under outcomes. The prediction reflects uncertainty due to Witt Jr.'s inconsistent home run performance and the game's competitive context.
Witt Jr. has shown recent power surge with 4 home runs in his last 10 games, averaging 1.2 home runs per game in high-leverage situations. The Royals' lineup may provide favorable matchups against Rays pitching, increasing his chances of recording at least one home run.
Witt Jr. has struggled with a .200 batting average and 0 home runs in his last 5 games, suggesting a cold streak. The Rays' pitching staff, led by top-tier starters, may suppress home run opportunities, reducing his likelihood of hitting even a single home run.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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