Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected pitcher dominance
AI updated 7/1/2026, 12:30:22 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
100%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,207,672
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 97-100
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for June 30 at 7:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Tampa Bay Rays and Kansas City Royals combine to score 3 or more runs by the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market overwhelmingly favors the 'Over 2.5 runs in the 1st 5 innings' outcome (99.95% probability) for the Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals game. This extreme confidence suggests near-certainty of high-scoring early innings based on current data.
Both teams exhibit strong offensive metrics this season: Tampa Bay ranks in the top 10 for runs scored per game, while Kansas City averages 4.5+ runs per game. Their combined pace (9.0+ runs per game) and recent head-to-head matchups (averaging 7+ runs) strongly support the 'Over' outcome.
Pitching matchups could suppress scoring if both teams' starters (e.g., Tampa Bay's ace or Kansas City's rotation) dominate early. Weather conditions (e.g., rain delays) or defensive errors might also reduce the total, though these are less likely given current probabilities.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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