Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement or cancellation of the game
AI updated 6/29/2026, 7:20:37 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,664,845
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
23h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for June 30 at 7:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays is winning the game by 2 or more runs at the conclusion of the 5th inning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals". If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Tampa Bay Rays to lead by 2+ runs after the 5th inning in their June 30 MLB game against the Kansas City Royals is evenly split at 50%, indicating no clear consensus on the outcome.
The Rays' strong starting pitching and offensive depth could allow them to build a lead by the 5th inning, especially if their bullpen performs well. Kansas City's inconsistent performance this season may also contribute to the Rays' ability to maintain a multi-run advantage.
The Royals' improving pitching staff and clutch hitting could narrow any early lead, while the Rays' bullpen struggles in high-leverage situations might prevent them from extending a lead beyond 1 run. A tied game at the 5th inning would default to the Royals under market rules.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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