Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: postponement_or_cancellation_risk
Calibrated 100% · raw 1250% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 12:30:17 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
46%
ORYN Consensus
34%
Signal Score
-12.5
Opportunity
10.6
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,206,887
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -1250.0¢
Entry: 43-49
—
Resolution
9d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
20 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for July 3 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market predicts a 33.50% chance of the St. Louis Cardinals winning against the Chicago Cubs in their upcoming MLB game. The Cubs are favored based on current odds, with the Cardinals at a significant disadvantage.
The Cardinals could win if key players (e.g., Paul Goldschmidt or Nolan Arenado) perform exceptionally well, if the Cubs' starting pitcher underperforms, or if favorable weather conditions (e.g., wind direction) favor the Cardinals' hitting style.
The Cubs are likely favored due to their stronger overall season performance, deeper pitching rotation, and home-field advantage. Injuries to Cardinals' players or unexpected suspensions could further weaken their chances.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
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