Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement due to weather (monsoon season)
AI updated 7/2/2026, 3:00:30 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 39% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
100%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,678,390
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 96-100
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for July 1 at 9:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the San Francisco Giants and Arizona Diamondbacks combine to score 3 or more runs by the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market overwhelmingly favors the 'Over' outcome (3+ runs in the 1st 5 innings) with a 99.50% probability, indicating near-certainty. The Giants and Diamondbacks are historically high-scoring teams, and the game's timing (July 1) suggests peak offensive performance.
The Giants and Diamondbacks rank among MLB's top offensive teams, with both averaging over 4.5 runs per game in recent seasons. The Diamondbacks' home park (Chase Field) is hitter-friendly, and the Giants' lineup features multiple high-average, high-power hitters. Early-game momentum often favors offensive explosions.
Pitching matchups could suppress scoring: both teams' starters have ERAs above 4.00 this season, and bullpen reliability is inconsistent. Weather conditions (e.g., high humidity in Phoenix) may reduce offensive output, and defensive errors could limit extra-base hits. Low-scoring games are more likely in early-season matchups.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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