Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Pitcher fatigue or injury in early innings
Calibrated 100% · raw 250% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 8:00:36 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 47% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
35%
ORYN Consensus
33%
Signal Score
-2.5
Opportunity
1.6
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,308,884
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -250.0¢
Entry: 32-38
—
Resolution
14h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
12 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for July 1 at 9:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks is winning the game by 2 or more runs at the conclusion of the 5th inning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants". If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market suggests a 32.5% probability that the Arizona Diamondbacks will lead the San Francisco Giants by 2+ runs after the first 5 innings of their July 1 MLB game. The spread favors the Diamondbacks slightly, but the underdog position implies cautious optimism.
Arizona Diamondbacks may capitalize on strong early pitching or offensive bursts, overcoming the Giants' home advantage. Historical data shows Diamondbacks' top starters often dominate early innings, supporting a bullish outlook.
The Giants' home crowd and potential late-game adjustments could neutralize Arizona's lead by the 5th inning. San Francisco's consistent mid-season performance reduces the likelihood of a significant early deficit.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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