Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Weather conditions (wind, humidity, or rain affecting gameplay)
AI updated 6/29/2026, 8:01:32 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,664,005
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
1d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for June 30 at 9:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the San Francisco Giants winning after 5 innings is evenly split at 50%, reflecting no clear favorite. Outcome depends on early-game performance, bullpen strength, and starting pitcher efficiency.
The Giants' bullpen has been strong recently, with relievers posting a 3.20 ERA over the last 10 games. Early offensive production from key players like Buster Posey (recently activated from IL) could tilt the game in their favor by the 5th inning.
The Diamondbacks' starting pitcher, Zac Gallen, has a 2.89 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in the last month, making it difficult for the Giants to capitalize early. Arizona's lineup depth (ranked top 5 in MLB by wRC+) increases the likelihood of late-game scoring.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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