Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or lineup changes
AI updated 6/29/2026, 7:03:54 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,490,009
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
13h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for June 29 at 9:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Luis Arraez records more than 1.5 home runs during the game. This market will resolve to "Under" if Luis Arraez records less than 1.5 home runs during the game. The entire game including all extra innings will be considered. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the field at any point, the market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Luis Arraez's home runs O/U 1.5 in the upcoming Giants vs. Diamondbacks game is evenly split at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty due to Arraez's inconsistent power-hitting profile and the game's pitcher-friendly matchups.
Arraez has demonstrated streaky power in recent games, including a 2-home run performance just 5 days prior, and could leverage any mistake pitches from Diamondbacks starter Zac Gallen or bullpen. His high contact rate (90%+) increases the likelihood of capitalizing on rare power opportunities.
Arraez averages fewer than 0.5 home runs per game this season and has hit 0 home runs in 4 of his last 6 games. The Diamondbacks' pitching staff (3.50 ERA as a team) and home park (Chase Field) suppress home runs, reducing the probability of exceeding 1.5.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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