Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unforeseen injuries to key players before or during the game
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 8:30:58 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,238,786
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 28 at 1:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Seattle Mariners and Cleveland Guardians combine to score 6 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 6, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians game O/U 5.5 runs shows an even 50% probability, indicating no clear consensus on whether the combined score will exceed or fall below 5.5. The neutral probability reflects balanced expectations given current team performance and matchup dynamics.
The 'Over' case (6+ runs) is supported by Seattle's strong offensive lineup, particularly with star hitters like Julio Rodríguez and Cal Raleigh, who have demonstrated high run-scoring potential. Cleveland's pitching staff has shown vulnerabilities, especially against power hitters, which could lead to a higher-scoring game. Historical data also suggests these teams frequently exceed low run totals in their matchups.
The 'Under' case (≤5 runs) is plausible due to Cleveland's improved pitching rotation, including strong performances from pitchers like Triston McKenzie and Carlos Carrasco, who may limit Seattle's scoring. Seattle's recent struggles against high-velocity pitchers could further suppress run production. Additionally, both teams have shown tendencies to play low-scoring games in high-pressure or late-season scenarios.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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