Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Weather conditions affecting game dynamics
AI updated 6/28/2026, 9:15:37 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
0%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,280,704
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
11 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 28 at 1:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game by 3 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Cleveland Guardians (-2.5) favors the Seattle Mariners, with a 99.95% probability, indicating strong confidence in the Guardians not covering the spread. The low market probability suggests either a high-seeded underdog scenario or low liquidity in the market.
The Cleveland Guardians could cover the spread if key starting pitchers perform exceptionally well or if Seattle Mariners' offense struggles with left-handed pitching, given Cleveland's recent form against similar pitching styles. A strong bullpen performance late in the game could also push the Guardians to a 3+ run victory.
The Seattle Mariners are favored due to their higher run differential in recent games and stronger offensive lineup, making a 3+ run loss by Cleveland plausible. Additionally, home field advantage for Seattle in this matchup could further reduce Cleveland's chances of covering the spread.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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