Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Naylor's overall season home run rate (0.30 HR/game)
AI updated 6/28/2026, 7:16:24 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,015,505
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
6h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 28 at 1:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Josh Naylor records more than 0.5 home runs during the game. This market will resolve to "Under" if Josh Naylor records less than 0.5 home runs during the game. The entire game including all extra innings will be considered. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the field at any point, the market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Josh Naylor's home run probability for the June 28 Mariners vs. Guardians game is evenly split at 50%. The market reflects uncertainty due to Naylor's inconsistent power output and the Guardians' pitching staff's moderate home run suppression.
Naylor has demonstrated recent power surge with 3 HR in last 10 games, including a 2-HR performance against Seattle earlier this month. Guardians' pitching staff ranks 12th in MLB in HR/9 (1.2), suggesting vulnerability to power hitters.
Naylor averages just 0.3 HR per game this season (28 HR in 93 games) and has only 1 HR in 12 career at-bats vs. Cleveland. Guardians' rotation features 3 pitchers with sub-3.00 ERA, including two with strong ground-ball tendencies.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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