In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 26 at 7:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Cal Raleigh records more than 1.5 home runs during the game. This market will resolve to "Under" if Cal Raleigh records less than 1.5 home runs during the game. The entire game including all extra innings will be considered. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the field at any point, the market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Key risk: Injury or lineup changes affecting Raleigh's participation
AI updated 6/26/2026, 5:16:50 PM
In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 26 at 7:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Cal Raleigh records more than 1.5 home runs during the game. This market will resolve to "Under" if Cal Raleigh records less than 1.5 home runs during the game. The entire game including all extra innings will be considered. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the field at any point, the market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Cal Raleigh's home run over/under market for the June 26 Mariners-Guardians game is priced at 50%, indicating a balanced expectation with no clear consensus on his performance.
Cal Raleigh has demonstrated strong home run tendencies in recent games, with a season average above the 1.5 threshold. His power-hitting form and the Mariners' offensive lineup could favor a higher probability of exceeding 1.5 home runs.
Raleigh's recent performance has been inconsistent, with multiple games below 1.5 home runs. The Guardians' pitching staff, known for suppressing power hitters, may limit his opportunities to surpass the threshold.
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Cal Raleigh: Home Runs O/U 1.5 is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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