In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 26 at 7:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Key risk: unexpected_weather_delays
AI updated 6/26/2026, 6:17:43 PM
In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 26 at 7:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market suggests an equal likelihood (50%) of the Seattle Mariners or Cleveland Guardians leading after 5 innings, with a 0% chance of a tie. The game's neutral starting conditions and recent performance trends contribute to this balanced assessment.
The Mariners may lead after 5 innings due to their stronger bullpen depth and recent offensive momentum, particularly with key hitters like Julio Rodríguez in form. Cleveland’s inconsistent late-game performance could also favor Seattle maintaining a lead.
The Guardians could lead after 5 innings if their starting pitcher (e.g., Shane Bieber) dominates early or if Seattle’s offense struggles against Cleveland’s pitching staff. Cleveland’s resilience in close games may also tilt the odds in their favor.
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Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians: Tied after 5 innings? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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