Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Missing same-day inputs on pitchers, lineups, and weather materially limits precision
Calibrated 100% · raw 1600% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/3/2026, 4:40:39 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| omniroute | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 30% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
34%
Signal Score
-16.0
Opportunity
9.9
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,505,203
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -1600.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for July 2 at 10:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers combine to score 18 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 18, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
An 17.5 total in an MLB game is extremely high relative to typical league scoring environments, so a 50% market price appears rich for the over unless there are unusually strong run-boosting conditions. Without evidence here of extreme wind, compromised starting pitching, or depleted bullpens, the base-rate case favors the under.
The Dodgers and Padres both have lineups capable of explosive innings, and a game can clear 17.5 if one or both starters exit early and middle relief implodes. If there are hitter-friendly weather conditions, a thin bullpen, or a bullpen game on either side, the over becomes materially more live than standard MLB totals imply.
Eighteen combined runs is a very demanding threshold that requires sustained offensive efficiency, not just one good inning. Even strong offenses often stall against quality pitching, and ordinary variance in sequencing, strand rate, and bullpen stabilization tends to keep games below such an inflated number.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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