Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Pitcher injuries altering starting lineups
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/3/2026, 3:54:42 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 30% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.1
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,504,506
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for July 2 at 10:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game by 3 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers spread market (-2.5) shows a 50% probability, indicating a balanced outlook between the two teams. The neutral starting point reflects uncertainty due to the Dodgers' historical dominance and the Padres' recent inconsistent performance.
The Padres could cover the spread if their offense, led by Manny Machado and Fernando Tatis Jr., outperforms expectations against the Dodgers' pitching staff. A strong bullpen performance and favorable matchups (e.g., pitcher vs. lineup) may tilt the odds in San Diego's favor.
The Dodgers' depth in starting pitching (e.g., Clayton Kershaw, Julio Urías) and bullpen stability makes them favorites to win by 3+ runs. Their recent head-to-head dominance and home-field advantage in Los Angeles further support this outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.