Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Game postponement due to inclement weather
AI updated 6/29/2026, 7:31:53 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,664,005
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
23h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for June 30 at 8:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the San Diego Padres and Chicago Cubs combine to score 3 or more runs by the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for the San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs 1st 5 Innings Over/Under 2.5 runs is neutral at 50%, indicating no clear bias toward either outcome. The game's statistical parity and early-inning volatility contribute to the balanced probability.
The Padres and Cubs are both offensively strong teams, with the Padres ranking in the top half of MLB in runs scored and the Cubs featuring a balanced lineup capable of early-inning scoring. High-scoring games in interleague play and favorable weather conditions could push the total over 2.5 runs.
Both teams have strong pitching staffs, with the Cubs' rotation and bullpen ranked in the top third of MLB, and the Padres' bullpen being particularly effective in limiting runs in early innings. Low-scoring games or strong early-inning pitching performances could keep the total under 2.5 runs.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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