Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: weather_conditions
AI updated 6/30/2026, 2:00:34 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
100%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,746,417
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 97-100
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for June 29 at 8:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the San Diego Padres and Chicago Cubs combine to score 4 or more runs by the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market overwhelmingly favors the 'Over' outcome (99.60%) for the combined runs total in the first 5 innings of the San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs game. The high probability suggests strong confidence in a high-scoring early game, likely driven by offensive strengths of both teams.
Both the Padres and Cubs rank among the top MLB teams in offensive metrics like batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. The Padres' home park (Petco Park) historically favors hitters, and the Cubs' lineup features multiple power bats. Early-game scoring trends (first 5 innings) often reflect team offensive capabilities, supporting the 'Over' resolution.
Pitching matchups and bullpen usage could suppress early runs, especially if both teams' starters are strong or if the game is delayed (reducing innings played). Weather conditions (e.g., wind, humidity) or defensive errors might also limit scoring. A low-scoring pitcher's duel or a quick game (e.g., rain-shortened) could push the total under 3.5.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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