Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: postponement or cancellation due to weather
AI updated 7/2/2026, 5:15:41 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 28% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,885,631
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
1d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Washington Nationals, scheduled for July 3 at 6:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Washington Nationals winning after 5 innings in the July 3 game against the Pittsburgh Pirates is perfectly balanced at 50.00%, reflecting equal probability of either team leading after the 5th inning. The absence of a clear favorite aligns with the neutral starting point for MLB games.
The Washington Nationals could lead after 5 innings if their strong offensive lineup (e.g., top 3 batting average) outperforms Pittsburgh's pitching staff, particularly if key hitters like Soto or Menendez are in form. Early home runs or a dominant starting pitcher (e.g., Corbin) could tilt the game in their favor.
The Pittsburgh Pirates could lead after 5 innings if their pitching staff (e.g., Keller or Bednar) stifles the Nationals' offense, or if the Nationals struggle with runners in scoring position. Defensive errors or a slow start by Washington's lineup would favor Pittsburgh.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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