Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury to key players before the game
AI updated 7/1/2026, 5:16:31 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 41% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,490,802
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
19h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for July 2 at 12:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market reflects a near-even probability (50%) that the Pittsburgh Pirates and Philadelphia Phillies will be tied after 5 innings, indicating no clear favorite in early-game performance. The neutral outcome is the most likely resolution based on current market dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Pirates could lead after 5 innings due to strong early-inning pitching or offensive bursts, especially if their bullpen or lineup outperforms expectations. Historical trends of late-game comebacks may also influence early dominance.
The Philadelphia Phillies might take an early lead after 5 innings, driven by their starting pitcher's strong performance or timely hitting against the Pirates' bullpen. The Phillies' recent form or home-field advantage could tilt the odds in their favor.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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