Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement or cancellation due to unforeseen circumstances
AI updated 7/2/2026, 12:30:36 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 38% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
100%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,655,824
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
HIGH
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 97-100
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for July 1 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Pittsburgh Pirates and Philadelphia Phillies combine to score 11 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 11, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market overwhelmingly favors the 'Over 10.5' outcome for the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies game, with a 99.95% probability. This extreme bias suggests near-certainty of a high-scoring game, likely driven by external factors rather than typical MLB dynamics.
The bull case assumes the game will exceed 10.5 runs due to offensive-heavy team compositions, favorable pitching matchups, or extreme weather conditions (e.g., high humidity aiding batters). Historical data or recent trends may also indicate a propensity for high-scoring games between these teams.
The bear case posits that the game underperforms due to defensive dominance, pitcher-friendly conditions (e.g., cold weather, strong winds), or strategic pitching changes reducing run production. A potential postponement or cancellation could also introduce uncertainty, though this is unlikely given the market's resolution criteria.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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