Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement or cancellation due to weather
AI updated 7/2/2026, 1:30:26 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 38% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,656,169
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for July 1 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game by 3 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Philadelphia Phillies are favored to win by 3+ runs in their upcoming MLB game against the Pittsburgh Pirates, with a market probability of 50.00%. The outcome hinges on the Phillies' offensive and pitching performance relative to the Pirates' defensive and batting strengths.
The Phillies' strong pitching rotation and high-scoring offense could overpower the Pirates, particularly if key players like Bryce Harper or J.T. Realmuto perform well. A dominant starting pitcher or a late-inning rally could secure the 3+ run margin needed for a bullish outcome.
The Pirates' recent defensive improvements and clutch hitting might limit the Phillies' scoring margin, especially if their bullpen underperforms. A tight game or a late comeback by Pittsburgh could result in a Phillies win by fewer than 3 runs or a Pirates victory.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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