Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement due to weather
AI updated 7/1/2026, 12:16:07 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,206,887
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for June 30 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Pittsburgh Pirates and Philadelphia Phillies combine to score 5 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies game O/U 4.5 runs is evenly split, with a 50.00% probability assigned to both the 'Over' and 'Under' outcomes. The market reflects uncertainty due to the teams' offensive variability and recent performance trends.
The 'Over' scenario is supported by the Phillies' strong offensive lineup, which averages 4.6 runs per game this season, and the Pirates' occasional high-scoring games when key hitters are in form. Weather conditions and pitcher matchups could also favor higher scoring.
The 'Under' scenario is plausible given the Pirates' league-worst pitching staff, which has allowed 5.2 runs per game this season, and the Phillies' recent trend of low-scoring games against weaker opponents. Defensive errors or a dominant opposing pitcher could suppress the total.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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