Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury to key Phillies players (e.g., Harper, Wheeler)
Calibrated 100% · raw 250% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 4:30:33 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 44% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
35%
ORYN Consensus
32%
Signal Score
-2.5
Opportunity
1.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,803,083
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -250.0¢
Entry: 31-38
—
Resolution
14h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
9 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for June 30 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies is winning the game by 3 or more runs at the conclusion of the 5th inning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates". If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for the Philadelphia Phillies to lead by 3+ runs after the 5th inning is priced at 32%, indicating a moderate underdog status against the spread. The outcome hinges on early-game performance, pitching efficiency, and offensive consistency relative to the Pirates.
The Phillies' strong offensive lineup (e.g., Harper, Castellanos) and bullpen depth could overpower Pittsburgh's pitching early, especially if starters like Aaron Nola dominate the first 5 innings. Home-field advantage (PNC Park) may also play a role if the Phillies adapt quickly to conditions.
The Pirates' underrated pitching staff (e.g., Keller, contrast to Phillies' injury concerns) and potential early deficits could suppress the Phillies' ability to build a 3-run lead. Weather or umpire bias might further disrupt the Phillies' rhythm in the first half of the game.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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