Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: umpire_bias
AI updated 6/30/2026, 4:45:15 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 44% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
15%
ORYN Consensus
16%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,803,083
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 100.0¢
Entry: 12-18
—
Resolution
14h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
13 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for June 30 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates is winning the game by 2 or more runs at the conclusion of the 5th inning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies". If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Pittsburgh Pirates are favored to lead by 2+ runs after the 5th inning against the Philadelphia Phillies with a market probability of 16%. This reflects moderate confidence in Pittsburgh's early-game performance, though the spread is narrow and subject to volatility.
Pittsburgh's starting pitcher may dominate early, limiting Philadelphia's scoring opportunities. Their offensive lineup could capitalize on Phillies' bullpen vulnerabilities or weather conditions favoring fast starts.
Philadelphia's strong home record or late-game adjustments could neutralize Pittsburgh's lead. Weather disruptions (e.g., rain delays) or umpire decisions may skew early outcomes against Pittsburgh.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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