Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement or cancellation due to weather or unforeseen events
AI updated 6/28/2026, 6:16:13 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,215,872
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
1d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for June 29 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Pittsburgh Pirates and Philadelphia Phillies combine to score 5 or more runs by the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies 1st 5 Innings Over/Under 4.5 runs is evenly split, reflecting balanced expectations for offensive output in the early innings. The neutral probability suggests no strong market bias toward either outcome.
The bull case assumes both teams will perform offensively in the early innings, with potential for higher scoring due to matchups, home runs, or aggressive pitching strategies. The Phillies' strong offensive lineup and the Pirates' recent offensive improvements could tilt the odds toward the 'Over' outcome.
The bear case anticipates low-scoring baseball, with both teams struggling to generate runs due to strong pitching, defensive play, or weather conditions (e.g., wind, humidity). The Pirates' inconsistent offense and the Phillies' bullpen depth could suppress early-inning scoring, favoring the 'Under' outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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