Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: postponement/cancellation risk due to weather
AI updated 6/28/2026, 6:16:06 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,215,872
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
1d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for June 29 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Pittsburgh Pirates and Philadelphia Phillies combine to score 4 or more runs by the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Pirates vs. Phillies 1st 5 innings O/U 3.5 runs is evenly split at 50%, indicating no clear consensus on whether the combined score will exceed or fall below 3.5 by the 5th inning. The neutral probability reflects balanced risk factors and key drivers in both directions.
The bull case suggests offensive firepower from both teams could lead to a higher-scoring game. The Phillies' strong lineup (ranked top 5 in MLB in OPS) and the Pirates' improving offense (top 10 in runs per game) may combine for 4+ runs by the 5th inning, especially if early innings feature high-leverage scoring opportunities.
The bear case argues for a lower-scoring game due to strong starting pitching from both teams. The Phillies' Aaron Nola (career 3.98 ERA) and the Pirates' Mitch Keller (career 3.45 ERA) could suppress runs, while both bullpens are among the league's most reliable, reducing late-game scoring potential.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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