Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: postponement or cancellation due to weather
AI updated 6/28/2026, 6:16:00 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,216,596
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
1d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for June 29 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates is winning the game by 2 or more runs at the conclusion of the 5th inning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies". If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) in the 1st 5 innings spread against the Philadelphia Phillies shows a neutral 50% probability, indicating no clear favorite. The resolution hinges on the Pirates leading by 2+ runs after 5 innings or a non-resolving event (postponement/cancellation).
The Pirates could capitalize on early offensive production or strong starting pitching, building a 2-run lead by the 5th inning. Home-field advantage or favorable weather conditions may also favor the Pirates' performance in the early innings.
The Phillies' offensive firepower or the Pirates' defensive lapses could prevent a 2-run lead by the 5th inning. Starting pitching struggles or unfavorable game conditions (e.g., high winds) may undermine the Pirates' chances.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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