Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Luzardo's inconsistency in interleague play
Calibrated 100% · raw 2300% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 4:30:29 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
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|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
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| polymarket | — | — | Active |
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| news | 1 | — | Global only |
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
27%
Signal Score
-23.0
Opportunity
14.9
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,167,849
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -2300.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
10 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets, scheduled for June 28 at 1:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Jesús Luzardo records more than 7.5 strikeouts during the game. This market will resolve to "Under" if Jesús Luzardo records less than 7.5 strikeouts during the game. The entire game including all extra innings will be considered. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the field at any point, the market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Jesús Luzardo's strikeout total in the Phillies vs. Mets game on June 28 is currently priced at 27% for the Over 7.5 strikeouts market. The probability suggests a bearish outlook, favoring Luzardo recording fewer than 8 strikeouts.
Luzardo has shown strong performance in recent starts, averaging over 8 strikeouts per 9 innings in his last 5 appearances. The Mets' lineup has struggled against left-handed pitchers this season, with a .215 batting average and 22% strikeout rate against southpaws, which could lead to higher strikeout totals.
Luzardo has faced the Mets twice this season, allowing 10 hits and 6 runs in 8.2 innings, with only 6 strikeouts. The Phillies' bullpen has been unreliable, and if Luzardo exits early, his strikeout total may fall short. Additionally, Luzardo has a 4.20 ERA in interleague play, which could limit his dominance.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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