Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury to key players (e.g., starting pitcher or top hitter)
Calibrated 100% · raw 990% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 12:45:53 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
10%
Signal Score
+9.9
Opportunity
7.4
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 990.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
5 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets, scheduled for June 26 at 7:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for the Philadelphia Phillies winning after 5 innings against the New York Mets on June 26 shows a low probability (9.95%) of the Phillies leading at the 5th inning conclusion. This suggests either a competitive matchup or a bias toward the Mets' strength in early innings.
The Phillies could leverage home-field advantage or strong starting pitching to build an early lead, particularly if their lineup performs well against the Mets' bullpen or if the Mets' offense struggles in the first five innings. Historical data may show Phillies' resilience in early-game scenarios.
The Mets' offensive firepower, particularly from top hitters, or their bullpen's ability to shut down the Phillies early could lead to a Mets lead by the 5th inning. Weather conditions or pitcher fatigue might also favor the Mets in the early innings.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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