Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: late-game adjustments by the Red Sox
Calibrated 100% · raw 1650% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 6:30:51 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
10%
ORYN Consensus
27%
Signal Score
+16.5
Opportunity
11.9
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 1650.0¢
Entry: 7-13
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
10
Price history
2 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for June 27 at 1:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Yankees winning after 5 innings in the June 27 matchup against the Red Sox stands at 26.50%, indicating a moderate expectation of the Yankees leading at that stage. Historical performance and current season trends suggest the Yankees have a plausible but not dominant chance of leading after 5 innings.
The Yankees' strong offensive lineup and starting pitcher performance may favor a lead after 5 innings. Their historical head-to-head dominance against the Red Sox, especially in high-leverage games, supports a bullish outlook. Additionally, favorable weather conditions or early-game momentum could tilt the odds in their favor.
The Red Sox's competitive season and home-field advantage could mitigate the Yankees' chances of leading after 5 innings. The Red Sox's strong bullpen and late-game resilience may reduce the likelihood of an early Yankees lead. Additionally, pitcher fatigue or injuries could negatively impact the Yankees' early-game performance.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.