Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unpredictable MLB game dynamics (e.g., injuries, ejections)
AI updated 7/1/2026, 10:30:34 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 43% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
0%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,586,717
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for July 1 at 3:07 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game by 9 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "New York Mets". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "New York Mets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Toronto Blue Jays (-8.5) spread against the New York Mets is highly unlikely, with a market probability of 0.05%. The Blue Jays would need to win by 9 or more runs to resolve favorably, a significant margin given typical MLB game outcomes.
The Blue Jays could win by 9+ runs if they dominate offensively and defensively, with key players performing exceptionally. A strong starting pitcher and high-scoring offense might create the necessary margin, especially if the Mets' pitching staff underperforms.
The Blue Jays are unlikely to win by 9+ runs due to the rarity of such a margin in MLB games. Even a strong team like Toronto would need an extraordinary performance, while the Mets' competitive roster reduces the likelihood of such a lopsided outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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