Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: game_postponement_or_cancellation
AI updated 6/30/2026, 7:18:42 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,137,519
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
17h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for July 1 at 3:07 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the New York Mets and Toronto Blue Jays combine to score 3 or more runs by the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is evenly split, with a 50% probability for both Over and Under outcomes. This suggests no clear consensus on the expected run production in the early innings of the game.
The bull case assumes offensive production from either team's lineup, particularly if star players are active or if the teams have strong batting averages. A favorable matchup against the opposing pitcher or favorable weather conditions could also contribute to higher run totals.
The bear case anticipates low-scoring baseball, possibly due to strong pitching performances, defensive play, or adverse weather conditions like rain that might shorten the game. Historically low-scoring teams or pitchers known for limiting runs could also support the Under outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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