Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unhandled injuries or roster changes
Calibrated 100% · raw 600% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 10:15:33 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 47% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
11%
ORYN Consensus
17%
Signal Score
+6.0
Opportunity
5.1
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,920,919
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 600.0¢
Entry: 8-14
—
Resolution
8h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
16 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for June 30 at 7:07 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Francisco Lindor records more than 0.5 home runs during the game. This market will resolve to "Under" if Francisco Lindor records less than 0.5 home runs during the game. The entire game including all extra innings will be considered. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the field at any point, the market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Francisco Lindor's home runs in the Mets vs. Blue Jays game on June 30 shows a low probability (17%) of him hitting more than 0.5 home runs, indicating skepticism about his offensive output in this matchup. The market suggests high confidence in Lindor either not hitting a home run or being inactive.
Lindor may be in a hot streak or facing a pitcher with a history of yielding home runs, increasing the likelihood of a home run. His recent form or platoon advantage could also boost his chances, though this is less probable given the low market probability.
Lindor has been struggling with home run production recently, or the Blue Jays' pitching staff (e.g., Alek Manoah or Yusei Kikuchi) has been effective against him, making a home run unlikely. Additionally, if Lindor is listed as inactive or sits out the game, the market resolves to 'Under' with certainty.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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