Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Game postponement due to weather (rain delays common in summer MLB games)
AI updated 6/30/2026, 2:00:47 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
47%
ORYN Consensus
48%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,746,908
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 100.0¢
Entry: 44-50
—
Resolution
18h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
12 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for June 30 at 7:07 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the New York Mets and Toronto Blue Jays combine to score 5 or more runs by the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for the New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays 1st 5 Innings Over/Under 4.5 runs is currently priced at 47.5%, indicating a slight bearish bias toward fewer than 5 runs being scored in the first five innings. This reflects a balanced expectation between offensive potential and pitching performance.
The bull case argues that both teams have strong offensive lineups, particularly the Blue Jays with power hitters like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette, increasing the likelihood of multiple runs in the early innings. Additionally, weather conditions or a pitcher-friendly ballpark could still allow for a high-scoring game if both teams get timely hits.
The bear case suggests that both teams' pitching staffs are strong, with starters like Kodai Senga (Mets) and Alek Manoah (Blue Jays) capable of limiting runs early. Historical data shows that early innings often trend toward lower scoring, especially in interleague play where unfamiliarity may lead to cautious play.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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