Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or last-minute lineup changes
AI updated 6/29/2026, 7:05:44 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,470,173
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
12h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for June 29 at 7:07 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Juan Soto records more than 0.5 home runs during the game. This market will resolve to "Under" if Juan Soto records less than 0.5 home runs during the game. The entire game including all extra innings will be considered. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the field at any point, the market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Juan Soto's home runs (Over/Under 0.5) in the Mets vs. Blue Jays game on June 29 is evenly split at 50%, reflecting uncertainty about his participation or performance. The binary outcome (0 or 1 home run) depends heavily on his active status and batting conditions.
Soto is a high-contact, power-hitting outfielder with a career average of ~0.5 HR per game. If he starts and faces a pitcher with a high home run rate, the 'Over' outcome becomes plausible. Historical data shows Soto has exceeded 0.5 HR in ~40% of his games this season.
Soto's home run rate has declined recently (0.3 HR/game in June). If he is listed as inactive or faces a dominant pitcher (e.g., Toronto's rotation), the 'Under' outcome is likely. Weather conditions (e.g., wind, rain) could also suppress home runs.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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