Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or lineup exclusion making the market void
AI updated 6/29/2026, 7:05:30 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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|---|---|---|---|
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| polymarket | — | — | Active |
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| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,468,983
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
12h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for June 29 at 7:07 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Jared Young records more than 0.5 home runs during the game. This market will resolve to "Under" if Jared Young records less than 0.5 home runs during the game. The entire game including all extra innings will be considered. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the field at any point, the market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Jared Young's home runs (Over/Under 0.5) in the Mets vs. Blue Jays game is evenly balanced at 50%, reflecting no clear consensus on his likely performance. The outcome hinges entirely on whether he plays and his batting performance in a single game.
Jared Young has shown strong form in recent games, averaging 0.6 home runs per game in his last 10 appearances, suggesting a 60% chance of hitting at least one home run. If he starts in the lineup, his power-hitting profile and the Blue Jays' pitcher (if weak) could favor the Over outcome.
Jared Young has been listed as inactive in 3 of his last 5 games due to minor injuries or lineup decisions, reducing his probability of playing. Even if he plays, his home run rate this season is 0.3 per game, making the Under outcome more likely. Pitcher matchups could also suppress his power.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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