Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: weather delays affecting game flow
AI updated 6/28/2026, 6:17:28 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,215,817
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
1d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for June 29 at 7:07 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays game being tied after 5 innings is evenly split at 50%, reflecting equal likelihood of either team leading or the game remaining tied. The outcome hinges on early-game performance, pitcher matchups, and offensive efficiency.
The Mets may lead after 5 innings due to stronger starting pitching (e.g., Kodai Senga's consistency) or offensive bursts from players like Pete Alonso. Toronto's bullpen struggles with inherited runners could also tilt the 5th inning in New York's favor.
The Blue Jays could lead after 5 innings if their offense capitalizes early against Mets starter Luis Severino, leveraging power hitters like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. or Bo Bichette. Toronto's home-field advantage and recent home run tendencies may favor an early lead.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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