Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Game postponement due to weather or other disruptions
AI updated 7/1/2026, 12:30:32 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,206,972
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Houston Astros, scheduled for June 30 at 8:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game by 3 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Houston Astros". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Houston Astros". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Minnesota Twins have a 50% chance to win by 3+ runs against the Houston Astros in their June 30 game. This is a neutral probability with no clear bullish or bearish bias, reflecting the uncertainty in MLB game outcomes.
The Twins could cover the -2.5 spread if their offensive lineup outperforms expectations, their pitching staff limits Houston's scoring, or key players return from injury. Home-field advantage in Minneapolis may also slightly favor the Twins.
The Astros' strong offense and deep pitching rotation may overcome the spread, especially if the Twins' bullpen underperforms or their starters allow early leads. Houston's recent performance trends could outweigh Minnesota's home advantage.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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