Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Resolution ambiguity
AI updated 6/29/2026, 7:04:42 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,489,939
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
12h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Houston Astros, scheduled for June 29 at 8:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Josh Bell records more than 1.5 home runs during the game. This market will resolve to "Under" if Josh Bell records less than 1.5 home runs during the game. The entire game including all extra innings will be considered. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the field at any point, the market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Josh Bell's home runs O/U 1.5 in the Twins vs. Astros game on June 29 is evenly split at 50%, indicating no clear consensus on his performance. The market's neutrality reflects uncertainty around Bell's recent form and matchup dynamics.
Josh Bell has shown power surges in recent weeks, averaging 0.6 home runs per game over his last 10 contests. The Astros' pitching staff has struggled against right-handed hitters this season, allowing a .220 ISO to RHH, which could benefit Bell's left-handed swing. If Bell is in the lineup, his track record suggests a >50% chance of clearing the 1.5 HR threshold.
Bell has been inconsistent lately, with a 3-for-20 slump in his last five games and a .200 average against Astros pitching this season. The Astros' rotation features two dominant left-handers (Verlander, Urquidy) who have suppressed LHH power, reducing Bell's home run potential. If Bell is benched or the game is a pitchers' duel, the
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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