Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement or cancellation of the game
AI updated 6/29/2026, 7:04:29 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,470,088
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
13h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Houston Astros, scheduled for June 29 at 8:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Byron Buxton records more than 0.5 home runs during the game. This market will resolve to "Under" if Byron Buxton records less than 0.5 home runs during the game. The entire game including all extra innings will be considered. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the field at any point, the market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market on Byron Buxton's home runs in the upcoming Twins vs. Astros game is evenly split, with a 50% probability for either outcome. The market hinges on Buxton's participation and performance in a single game, where his historical tendencies and situational factors will heavily influence the resolution.
Buxton is a proven power hitter with a career HR rate of ~0.05 per game, and his recent form (if active) suggests he could surpass 0.5 home runs in this game. The Astros' pitching staff has struggled against right-handed power hitters this season, increasing the likelihood of a home run. Home park advantage (Target Field) and potential favorable matchups (e.g., facing a left-handed pitcher) could further boost his chances.
Buxton is injury-prone and may be inactive or limited in this game, automatically resolving the market to 'Under.' Even if active, the Astros' pitching staff (ranked in the top 5 for HR prevention) could suppress his power output. Buxton's recent slump (if applicable) or a tough matchup (e.g., facing a dominant right-handed pitcher) would reduce his home run probability below 50%.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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