Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: game_postponement
AI updated 6/28/2026, 7:16:18 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,217,668
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
1d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Houston Astros, scheduled for June 29 at 8:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros is winning the game by 3 or more runs at the conclusion of the 5th inning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins". If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market reflects a balanced outlook on the Houston Astros' ability to lead by 3+ runs after 5 innings against the Minnesota Twins. The 50% probability suggests no clear favorite, with both teams' starting pitchers and recent performance offsetting each other.
The Astros' strong offensive lineup (e.g., Yordan Alvarez, Alex Bregman) and home-field advantage could propel them to a dominant early lead. Their bullpen depth also mitigates late-game risks, increasing the likelihood of maintaining a 3-run cushion.
The Twins' recent offensive surge (e.g., Byron Buxton, Carlos Correa) and improved pitching staff (e.g., Sonny Gray) may neutralize the Astros' early advantage. Weather conditions or umpire bias could further disrupt Astros' momentum.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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