Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Herrera's low historical power output (career 10 HR in 327 games)
AI updated 6/28/2026, 7:03:30 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,015,055
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
7h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for June 28 at 2:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Iván Herrera records more than 1.5 home runs during the game. This market will resolve to "Under" if Iván Herrera records less than 1.5 home runs during the game. The entire game including all extra innings will be considered. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the field at any point, the market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Iván Herrera's home runs O/U 1.5 in the June 28 MLB game is evenly split, reflecting high uncertainty due to Herrera's inconsistent performance and the game's competitive dynamics.
Herrera could exceed 1.5 home runs if he enters a hot streak or faces a pitcher with a weaker fastball, as his recent form shows occasional power potential. The Cardinals' lineup may provide opportunities for extra-base hits in favorable matchups.
Herrera is unlikely to surpass 1.5 home runs given his career average of only 0.3 HR/game and recent struggles, with the Marlins' pitching staff likely to limit offensive production. His defensive role as a catcher may also reduce at-bat frequency.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.