Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement/cancellation due to weather (Colorado's high-altitude games are weather-sensitive)
AI updated 7/2/2026, 2:15:33 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 38% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,657,331
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
HIGH
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for July 1 at 8:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins is winning the game by 2 or more runs at the conclusion of the 5th inning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies". If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Miami Marlins to lead by 2+ runs after 5 innings is highly unlikely, with a current probability of 0.50%. The neutral baseline for such markets typically hovers around 50%, indicating minimal confidence in either outcome.
The bull case assumes the Marlins' offensive strength (top-10 MLB batting average) and Colorado's pitching struggles (bottom-5 ERA) will persist, leading to a 2+ run lead by the 5th inning. Early-inning dominance by Miami's lineup could outweigh Colorado's home-field advantage.
The bear case posits Colorado's strong home record (top-3 in MLB) and Miami's inconsistent bullpen usage will limit the Marlins' lead to 1 run or less by the 5th inning. Weather factors (e.g., Coors Field's altitude) or early pitching adjustments by Colorado could suppress Miami's offense.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.