Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_starter_performance
Calibrated 100% · raw 550% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 8:17:05 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
24%
ORYN Consensus
30%
Signal Score
+5.5
Opportunity
3.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,664,845
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 550.0¢
Entry: 21-27
—
Resolution
0h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
17 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for June 29 at 8:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins is winning the game by 3 or more runs at the conclusion of the 5th inning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies". If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Miami Marlins have a 29.5% chance of leading by 3+ runs after the 1st 5 innings against the Colorado Rockies. Historical pitching matchups and offensive trends slightly favor the Marlins, but volatility in early-game outcomes remains high.
The Marlins' starting pitcher (e.g., Sandy Alcantara) has a strong ERA and strikeout rate, increasing the likelihood of early dominance. Colorado's lineup struggles against high-velocity pitchers, reducing run production in the first 5 innings. Home park advantage (loanDepot Park) may contribute to a faster Marlins lead.
Colorado's offensive firepower (e.g., Nolan Arenado, C.J. Cron) could break out early, especially against a Marlins bullpen prone to blowups. Weather conditions (e.g., humidity, wind) may favor high-scoring early innings. Marlins' recent inconsistency in close games reduces confidence in a sizable early lead.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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