Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Late-game injury to a key player
Calibrated 100% · raw 4955% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/26/2026, 5:47:30 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
+49.5
Opportunity
32.2
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 4955.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
10
Price history
2 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres, scheduled for June 26 at 9:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres is winning the game by 3 or more runs at the conclusion of the 5th inning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers". If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Padres to lead by 3+ runs after 5 innings is evenly split at 50%, reflecting balanced expectations due to the Padres' historical performance and the Dodgers' strong lineup. The market's neutrality suggests no clear favorite in the early-game spread.
The Padres' bullish case hinges on their starting pitcher's ability to limit early runs and their offense capitalizing on Dodgers' pitching vulnerabilities. If the Padres' bullpen performs well in the 1st-5th innings, they could extend a lead beyond 2.5 runs.
The Dodgers' lineup features elite hitters who could break out early, while the Padres' starting pitcher may struggle against high-octane offense. If the Dodgers gain an early lead or tie the game by the 5th, the market resolves to the Dodgers.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.