Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Weather conditions affecting gameplay (e.g., rain delays, wind)
AI updated 7/1/2026, 3:45:48 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,230,822
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Angels and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for June 30 at 9:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game by 6 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Seattle Mariners (-5.5) spread against the Los Angeles Angels shows an even 50% probability, indicating high uncertainty about the outcome. The Mariners need to win by 6 or more runs to resolve in their favor, which is a significant margin given recent performance trends.
The Mariners' bull case centers on their recent offensive firepower and home-field advantage, as their lineup has shown resilience against Angels pitching. A strong bullpen performance could also secure a multi-run victory, aligning with the spread requirement.
The Angels' bear case highlights their historical competitiveness in divisional games and potential underdog motivation, as they may aim to upset the Mariners' home advantage. A tight game with a late Angels rally could fall short of the 6-run margin needed for the Mariners to cover.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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