Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Pitcher injuries or fatigue
AI updated 6/28/2026, 7:17:46 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,217,668
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
1d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Angels and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for June 29 at 9:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels is winning the game by 3 or more runs at the conclusion of the 5th inning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners". If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Los Angeles Angels to win by 3+ runs after 5 innings is neutral (50%), reflecting balanced expectations between the teams. The market hinges on early-game performance and pitching matchups.
The Angels' strong offensive lineup (e.g., Ohtani, Trout) could generate early runs, while their bullpen depth may limit Mariners' comeback chances. If the Angels' starters perform well in the first 5 innings, the spread becomes achievable.
The Mariners' deep pitching rotation (e.g., Gilbert, Kirby) and solid defense could suppress the Angels' scoring, making a 3-run deficit unlikely. Historical head-to-head trends favor the Mariners in close games.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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