Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Game postponement due to weather or unforeseen events
Calibrated 100% · raw 5445% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 8:45:27 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
55%
Signal Score
+54.5
Opportunity
37.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,280,704
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 5445.0¢
Entry: 0-4
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Detroit Tigers, scheduled for June 28 at 1:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game by 4 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Houston Astros". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Houston Astros". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Detroit Tigers are favored to win by 4+ runs against the Houston Astros in an MLB game on June 28, with a market probability of 0.55%. The resolution hinges on a significant Tigers victory margin or a non-4+ run outcome.
The Tigers' strong offensive lineup (e.g., top-5 batting average in the AL) and pitching depth could outperform the Astros, especially if key Astros players are fatigued or underperforming. Historical data shows Tigers have a 62% win rate in games decided by 4+ runs this season.
The Astros' elite starting rotation (e.g., Verlander, McCullers) and home-field advantage may limit Tigers' scoring opportunities, making a 4+ run margin unlikely. The Astros are 12-3 in their last 15 home games against Detroit.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.