Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected player absences
AI updated 6/28/2026, 9:01:25 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,280,664
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Detroit Tigers, scheduled for June 28 at 1:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game by 4 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Houston Astros are favored to win by 4+ runs against the Detroit Tigers in an upcoming MLB game, with a market probability of 50.00%. The resolution hinges on a significant margin of victory, with ties or postponed games defaulting to Detroit Tigers.
The Astros' strong offensive lineup and pitching depth increase the likelihood of a dominant win. Historical performance against the Tigers and home-field advantage (if applicable) further support this outcome. Late-season form and bullpen reliability could push the margin to 4+ runs.
The Tigers' improving defense and recent pitching performances could limit the Astros' margin of victory. Bullpen struggles or key player absences for Houston may result in a closer game, falling short of the 4-run requirement. Postponement risks also favor the Tigers.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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