Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury to key Astros players before gametime
Calibrated 100% · raw 400% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 2:16:03 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
19%
ORYN Consensus
23%
Signal Score
+4.0
Opportunity
2.6
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
964,146
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 400.0¢
Entry: 16-22
—
Resolution
9h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
24 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Detroit Tigers, scheduled for June 28 at 1:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros is winning the game by 3 or more runs at the conclusion of the 5th inning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers". If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Houston Astros have a 22.5% probability of leading the Detroit Tigers by 3+ runs after the first 5 innings. This market reflects a low-confidence bet favoring the Astros, likely due to historical performance or pitching matchups.
The Astros' strong starting pitching and offensive depth could dominate early innings, especially if Detroit's lineup struggles against Houston's ace or top relievers. Home-field advantage in a potential early blowout scenario may further support the Astros.
Detroit's resilient offense, particularly against weaker Astros pitching, could keep the game close or tied by the 5th inning. Late-inning comebacks or bullpen collapses by Houston would invalidate the spread bet.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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